The Central Bank

What Is Going on with the Federal Reserve?: Watching an Ongoing Discussion by DeLong
With unemployment above and inflation below its formal targets, Why is the Federal Reserve talking about withdrawing stimulus? Why is it talking about moving to a regime in which it is no longer purchasing long-term securities as part of quantitative easing? And why is it forecasting that it will begin to increase interest rates six months after quantitative easing ends?

The Secstags

A Model of Secular Stagnation by Gauti Eggertsson Neil Mehrotray

deflation threat

Now is the time to preempt deflation by John H. Makin (American Enterprise Institute)

Explainer: Why is deflation so harmful? by Mark Thoma

Monday, April 07, 2014

Krugman, DeLong and Baker on inflation and the 1970s

Are Investors Less Confused About Real and Nominal Interest Rates Than They Were 40 Years Ago? by Dean Baker

Thoma commenter anne writes: 
There were 2 characteristics of investment structure and understanding in the 1970s that have changed markedly since. 
As for bond portfolios, the concept of duration and how a constant duration bond portfolio can be used to control principle loss during a period of significantly rising interest rates was not developed till late in the 1970s. Bond portfolio managers know how to protect portfolios against increasing inflation or interest rates now. 
As for stock portfolios, there has been a significant change for well established companies in which stock buybacks are demanded by investment managers and accepted by corporate management as a way in which to increase stock prices when economic conditions such as increasing inflation or interest rates make for bear markets.