Jonathan Chait on Scott Walker surviving the Wisconsin recall vote:
The Obama-Romney exit poll finding is probably the most
surprising data point to emerge from the mess in Wisconsin. Obama has
maintained strong support among minorities, and fairly strong support
among college-educated white voters, but his standing with white voters
lacking a college degree has fallen even below its low 2008 levels. If
there’s any region where Romney ought to be making inroads, it’s upper
Midwest states, where Obama still relies on blue-collar voters. Michigan
and, to a lesser degree, Ohio ought to be exceptions, owing to the
special circumstances of the auto bailout. Wisconsin and Iowa are ground
zero for states likely to fall to Romney. Tonight’s exit polls suggest
he’s much farther away than many of us believed.
But Walker’s win will certainly provide a blueprint for fellow
Republicans. When they gain a majority, they can quickly move to not
just wrest concessions from public sector unions but completely destroy
them, which in turn eliminates one of the strongest sources of political
organization for the Democratic Party. And whatever backlash develops,
it’s probably not enough to outweigh the political benefit. Walker has
pioneered a tactic that will likely become a staple of Republican
governance. Fortune favors the bold.
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