The Six Big Takeaways From the Government Shutdown by Nate Silver on October 10, 2013
The Shutdown Probably Won't Kill the GOP in 2014 by Yglesias. Probably wrong like Recovery Winter.
vs. Sam Wang (via DeLong)
Sam Wang: What the Gerrymander giveth with one hand… House 2014, prediction #1:
Provisionally, it looks like the following: In a little over a week, the shutdown has increased the probability of a Democratic House takeover in 2014 from 13% to as high as 50%.