Japan's current account balance
Japan's Missing Wall of Money by Thomas Klitgaard
Market
commentary at that time suggested that flooding the economy with liquidity
would lead to a “wall of money” flowing out of Japan in search of higher yields,
affecting asset prices worldwide. So far, however, Japan’s wall of money remains missing in action, with no pickup in
Japanese foreign investment since the April policy shift....
...The Bank’s asset purchase program set off no wall-of-money outflow from Japan. Instead, funds were brought back into
the country.
Cross-border inflows and
outflows typically move in tandem because net financial flows are tied to the
current account balance. There could
be a surge in outflows if the current account surplus were also to surge, but
current account balances tend to be sticky. The weakening in the yen since the
April meeting will boost exports, but it will also boost import prices in yen
terms, leaving Japan’s current account balance largely unaffected. Given the stickiness of the current
account, there can be no wall of money flowing out of Japan without a wall of
money flowing into Japan.
(
via Thoma)
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