-
Gavyn Davies: The separation principle drives the Fed towards tapering:
“A new ‘separation principle’ seems to be emerging, and it explains why
the FOMC seems eager to begin winding down its asset purchases in the
near future, while relying even more heavily than before on ‘lower for
longer’ guidance on forward short rates. This could have important
ramifications for markets…. The separation principle was spelled out
more clearly than ever before in Ben Bernanke’s speech on communications
policy…. Bernanke’s core point is that the Fed’s reading of monetary
conditions now distinguishes sharply between two distinct factors, which
are the expected forward path for short rates, and the term premium
built into long term bond yields. Asset purchases by the central bank
are intended to affect the second of these factors, the term premium,
but are not intended to give any signal to the markets about the Fed’s
willingness to keep short rates at zero for a prolonged period ahead…”
(via DeLong)
Monday, December 30, 2013
monetary policy
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
No comments:
Post a Comment