Tuesday, March 18, 2014

Yellen

Before the Fed Meeting: Inflation Hawks, Draw in Your Talons! by Jared Bernstein 
I’m confident one can trust the Yellen-led Fed to largely tune out the building chorus telling them to pre-emptively tighten because somewhere, somehow, there’s some inflation out there. 
That doesn’t mean they’re all inflation doves—remember, Yellen was bugging Greenspan to tighten in the mid-1990s (thankfully, he didn’t take her advice as the economy hit full employment and price pressures failed to appear). It just means that in weighting their dual goals, based on the data, they should still be up-weighting full employment over price stability. Output gaps remain a much larger challenge than price pressures.

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