by Scott Sumner
No one told me it was going to be hard to give away money! Seriously, there are a few more complications than I anticipated, and I am now waiting for specific instructions from iPredict and Hypermind about how to proceed. But it will get worked out.
Meanwhile the early Hypermind Q3 futures contract, with 100 euros in prize money, has now been upgraded to a combined Q3 and Q4 with 1000 euros in prize money. So it just became much more attractive. Recall that at Hypermind, traders do not have to put up their own money–it’s not “gambling.” But you do need to register first.
Eventually we will deliver much more money for prizes at Hypermind.
Update: I was sent the following information:
The real-time forecasts are published on this page, which requires the password: “illusion“.
The contracts are at about 34/35 right now, which means 3.4% to 3.5% annualized growth. That seems like an opportunity. 
PS. Super busy this week. All I have time for is to point out that the collapse of the Chinese economy, predicted for 20 years, once again failed to materialize in Q3. Now some brave souls are predicting Chinese growth will slow over time. You mean they won’t keep growing at 10% as they become highly developed? I never would have guessed.
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