Yglesias reflects on the Internet bubble and 1998

People recall that the stock market went way down and then the economy never got as hot as it was in the late-1990s again, so the conventional thing is to say “bubble” and roll our eyes at all those old New Economy articles. But there was this deliberate decision to slow the economy down. And it’s not like having achieved whatever they were trying to achieve, the Fed then managed to flip the growth switch back on post-recession.

And links to a Justin Fox piece circa 1998:

If you look beyond postwar U.S. history, however, you can come up with very different patterns. Economist John Makin of the American Enterprise Institute sees the current expansion as an investment-led, inflation-free "golden age" similar to the U.S. scene in the 1920s and Japan's in the 1980s. Both those booms ended badly, of course--but they didn't end in bursts of inflation. James Paulsen, chief investment officer at Norwest Investment Management, looks back even further, to the U.S. in the second half of the 19th century. That was a period of no inflation, revolutionary technological advances, massive global capital flows, and rapid economic growth--and was also characterized by devastating spells of deflation.

What else happened in the 90s and early 00s? In 1997 there was the East Asian Financial crisis. And Long Term Capital Management hedge fund bust. China decided never to be put in the position to be forced to go to the IMF and so helped cause the Global Savings Glut. Could that be the x-factor? In 2000 Greenspan argued that the bubblicious Bush tax cuts were advisable because no government debt would be bad (Clinton had balanced the budget.) So is Yglesias saying the Fed didn't push down the accelerator in the Bush years? My guess is that he feels the Bush years were not boom years.