Wednesday, October 12, 2011

Jonathan Chait on Republicans' rank dishonesty and galling hypocrisy
... Rather, it’s that a McCain presidency would, for purely political reasons, offer the possibility of greater Keynesian demand-side response.
Douglas Holz-Eakin, the chief economic advisor to John McCain in 2008 and the president of American Action Forum, a Republican agitprop group, offers a few tantalizing clues. First, he concedes that economic stimulus does in fact boost economic growth:
“The argument that the stimulus had zero impact and we shouldn’t have done it is intellectually dishonest or wrong,” he says. “If you throw a trillion dollars at the economy, it has an impact. I would have preferred to do it differently, but they needed to do something.”
Holz-Eakin, like most economists, but unlike the entire elected wing of the Republican Party since 2009, understands that economic stimulus does in fact stimulate the economy and is the proper response to a disaster like the one we’re experiencing.
The one truly large-scale response to the crisis that exceeded Obama’s response may have been an attempt to shore up the housing market. This bit, from Holz-Eakin, is also tantalizing:
In late 2008, when the economy was cratering, Holtz-Eakin convinced McCain that the way out of a housing crisis was to tackle housing debt directly. “What we proposed at the time was to buy up the troubled mortgages, pay them off and let people refinance at the lower rates,” he recalls. “That would have filled up the negative equity and healed bank balance sheets.” To this day, Holtz-Eakin thinks the proposal made sense. There was one problem. “No one liked that plan,” he says. “In fact, they hated it. The politics on housing are hideous.”
The politics were, indeed, hideous. But they were horrible in a way deeply aggravated by the political circumstances of the moment. You had an all-Democratic government, led by a charismatic, young, black president. Any measures to alleviate the crisis struck millions of conservatives as a terrifying redistribution of wealth, a frightful and permanent unmooring of the nation from its tradition of liberty. This helped encourage the hyper-partisan response of Republican leaders, who abandoned the belief in Keynesian stimulus that they had previously endorsed in 2001 and 2008. (Yes, Republicans passed a stimulus bill in 2008. Their turnabout against stimulus was rapid and total.)
(via Mark Thoma)

Holz-Eakin is advising Romney, as is Mankiw.

(Mankiw on the IS-LM model)

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