assimilated by the Borg

Bankers, Workers, Obama and Summers by Krugman

As of right now, Summers is clearly not in the banking camp; the stuff he has been writing about fiscal policy makes it clear that he very much believes that the job of economic recovery is not done. On that basis, you would expect him to prod the Fed into doing much more than it is. On the other hand, given Bernanke’s pre-Fed record you would have expected the same thing — maybe even more so, because Bernanke had strongly emphasized the central bank’s responsibility for economic growth. Once at the Fed, however, Bernanke appears to have been assimilated by the Borg, moving much closer to the banking camp. 

Would the same thing happen to Summers? I worry. And one of the strong (though probably futile at this point) arguments for Yellen is that she spent years at the Fed without being assimilated, never losing sight of the crucial importance of employment. 

While Summers isn’t in the banking camp, however, Obama is. As Ezra Klein explains, his choice of Summers clearly reflects his view that policy in 2009-2010 was a great success, not a big disappointment, and he wants to keep the winning team together. 

Of course, it’s a lot easier for Obama to consider his policies a success given that he was reelected. 

Obviously I’m in the macroeconomics camp, not the banking camp, so this is all depressing, in several senses. It means, among other things, that even if Summers is the right choice — which we’ll never really know — it’s a choice that Obama is making for all the wrong reasons.